Match

Bryne vs Stabaek: prediction and stats

1. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Bryne Stadion, Bryne

BryneStabaek

The Footlab model makes Stabaek the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Bryne. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bryne vs Stabaek?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Bryne (1,860) and Stabaek (1,947).

Bryne win24 %
Draw23 %
Stabaek win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bryne have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Stabaek have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bryne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sandnes ULF(away)1-01. Division
Aug 15, 2026Moss(home)2-11. Division
Aug 9, 2026Sogndal(away)2-01. Division
Aug 1, 2026Stromsgodset(home)0-21. Division
Jul 25, 2026Haugesund(away)2-11. Division
Stabaek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Heming(away)2-0NM Cupen
Aug 16, 2026Egersund(away)4-01. Division
Aug 8, 2026Lyn(home)4-31. Division
Aug 2, 2026Raufoss(away)2-01. Division
Jul 27, 2026hodd(home)6-01. Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bryne win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Stabaek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 27, 2026Stabaek 2-0 Bryne1. Division
Sep 1, 2024Bryne 3-0 Stabaek1. Division
May 8, 2024Stabaek 5-1 BryneNM Cupen
Apr 6, 2024Stabaek 1-0 Bryne1. Division
Mar 12, 2023Stabaek 5-0 BryneNM Cupen
Sep 5, 2022Stabaek 2-2 Bryne1. Division

Last archived meeting: Stabaek vs Bryne on Jun 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bryne score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stabaek score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bryne1.51.256/157/15
Stabaek2.70.986/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bryne sit 7th in 1. Division (29 points from 19 matches) and Stabaek sit 1st (39 points from 18 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Stabaek181233481939
5Stabaek11632251321
7Bryne19928262729
9Bryne11416172013

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bryne vs Stabaek?
The Footlab model makes Stabaek the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Bryne.
Where and when is Bryne vs Stabaek played?
Bryne vs Stabaek is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bryne Stadion, in the 1. Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bryne and Stabaek

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