Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Dinamo Tirana: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhinë
The Footlab model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Dinamo Tirana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Dinamo Tirana?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Egnatia Rrogozhinë (1,869) and Dinamo Tirana (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Egnatia Rrogozhinë have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Dinamo Tirana have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tirana(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Celje(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vora(home) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Auda(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Egnatia Rrogozhinë win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Dinamo Tirana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-0 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| May 13, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana 3-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Cup |
| May 2, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana 2-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-0 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-3 Dinamo Tirana | Super Cup |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Dinamo Tirana 1-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Dinamo Tirana on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Tirana score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Dinamo Tirana | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë sit 1st in Superliga (3 points from 1 matches) and Dinamo Tirana sit 9th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tirana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Dinamo Tirana?
- The Footlab model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Dinamo Tirana.
- Where and when is Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Dinamo Tirana played?
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Dinamo Tirana is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Egnatia, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.