Tirana vs Vllaznia Shkodër: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Selman Stërmasi, Tirana
The Footlab model makes Tirana the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Vllaznia Shkodër. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tirana vs Vllaznia Shkodër?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Tirana (1,752) and Vllaznia Shkodër (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tirana have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Vllaznia Shkodër have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| May 10, 2026 | AF Elbasani(away) | 3-1 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(away) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Partizani(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce(home) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vora(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Laci(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Malisheva(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Malisheva(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tirana win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Vllaznia Shkodër win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Tirana 1-0 Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër 3-1 Tirana | Superliga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Tirana 1-1 Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Vllaznia Shkodër 3-1 Tirana | Superliga |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Tirana 0-0 Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Vllaznia Shkodër 2-1 Tirana | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Tirana vs Vllaznia Shkodër on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tirana score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vllaznia Shkodër score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tirana | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Vllaznia Shkodër | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tirana sit 10th in Superliga (0 points from 1 matches) and Vllaznia Shkodër sit 3rd (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Tirana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tirana vs Vllaznia Shkodër?
- The Footlab model makes Tirana the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Vllaznia Shkodër.
- Where and when is Tirana vs Vllaznia Shkodër played?
- Tirana vs Vllaznia Shkodër is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Selman Stërmasi, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.