Angola vs Egypt: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA, Benguela
The Footlab AI model makes Egypt the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Angola. The most likely score is 1-1. If Egypt wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Angola vs Egypt?
Egypt starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,591).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Angola vs Egypt
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Angola
4-3-3- 19Mabululu
- 18Zito Luvumbo
- 11Milson
- 20Manuel Keliano
- 16David Carmo
- 23Show
- 13Pedro Francisco
- 6Kialonda Gaspar
- 3Jonathan Buatu
- 4M. Sambu
- 22Neblú
Egypt
4-2-3-1- 22Omar Marmoush
- 11Mostafa Zico
- 8Emam Ashour
- 17Mohanad Lasheen
- 19Marwan Attia
- 12H. Hassan
- 3Mohamed Hany
- 5Rami Rabia
- 4Hossam Abdelmaguid
- 13Ahmed Abou El Fotouh
- 1Mostafa Shobeir
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Angola have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Egypt have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Malawi(home) | 3-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Egypt(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Central African Republic(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Mauritania(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Egypt(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | South Africa(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 29, 2026 | South Sudan(away) | 5-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Angola(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 2-3 | World Cup |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Australia(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Angola wins, 3 draws, 1 Egypt win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Egypt 0-0 Angola | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Angola 0-0 Egypt | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Angola 2-2 Egypt | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 1, 2021 | Egypt 1-0 Angola | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Angola score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Egypt score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angola | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Egypt | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Angola sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (4 points from 2 matches) and Egypt sit 1st (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | Angola | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
A question about Angola vs Egypt?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Angola vs Egypt?
- The Footlab AI model makes Egypt the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Angola.
- Where and when is Angola vs Egypt played?
- Angola vs Egypt is played on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.