Angola vs Egypt: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA, Benguela
The Footlab model makes Egypt the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Angola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Angola vs Egypt?
Egypt starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,723 vs 1,578).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Angola have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Egypt have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Central African Republic(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Mauritania(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Egypt(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 22, 2025 | South Africa(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Iran(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 22, 2026 | New Zealand(away) | 3-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Belgium(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Brazil(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| May 28, 2026 | Russia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Angola win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Egypt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Angola 0-0 Egypt | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Angola 2-2 Egypt | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 1, 2021 | Egypt 1-0 Angola | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Angola score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Egypt score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angola | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Egypt | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Angola sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (14 points from 6 matches) and Egypt sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 1 | Angola | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Angola vs Egypt?
- The Footlab model makes Egypt the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Angola.
- Where and when is Angola vs Egypt played?
- Angola vs Egypt is played on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.