Ehime FC vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ehime FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ehime FC vs Kagoshima United?
Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ehime FC have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 2-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pacific University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Albirex Niigata(away) | 4-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ehime FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kagoshima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Kagoshima United 4-0 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Ehime FC 2-2 Kagoshima United | J2 League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Ehime FC 0-2 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Kagoshima United 1-2 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Kagoshima United 0-1 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Ehime FC 1-0 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC on Oct 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ehime FC | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ehime FC sit 2nd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ehime FC vs Kagoshima United?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ehime FC.
- Where and when is Ehime FC vs Kagoshima United played?
- Ehime FC vs Kagoshima United is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ningineer Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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