Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Ehime FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC?
Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagoshima United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ehime FC have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Blaublitz Akita(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pacific University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(away) | 0-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kagoshima United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ehime FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Kagoshima United 4-0 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Ehime FC 2-2 Kagoshima United | J2 League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Ehime FC 0-2 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Kagoshima United 1-2 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Kagoshima United 0-1 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Ehime FC 1-0 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC on Oct 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Ehime FC | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagoshima United sit 4th in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Ehime FC sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Ehime FC.
- Where and when is Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC played?
- Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shiranami Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026FC GifuvsFukushima United
- Oct 17, 2026KanazawavsNara Club
- Oct 17, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsKochi United
- Oct 17, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsRoasso Kumamoto
- Oct 17, 2026KitakyushuvsOsaka
- Oct 17, 2026FC RyukyuvsTochigi SC
- Oct 17, 2026Gainare TottorivsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Oct 17, 2026Parceiro NaganovsMatsumoto Yamaga