Where and when is Fukushima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?

Fukushima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fukushima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)TOHO Stadium, Fukushima

Fukushima United

Renofa Yamaguchi

The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Renofa Yamaguchi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fukushima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Fukushima United (1,673) and Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717).

Fukushima United win37 %

Draw26 %

Renofa Yamaguchi win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fukushima United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Renofa Yamaguchi have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fukushima United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	0-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Oyama(home)	7-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kanazawa(away)	3-4	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	1-2	J3 League

Renofa Yamaguchi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nara Club(away)	1-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

How many goals should we expect?

Fukushima United score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fukushima United	1.8	1.7	2	10/15	10/15
Renofa Yamaguchi	1.5	1.5	2	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fukushima United sit 19th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Renofa Yamaguchi	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
19	Fukushima United	3	0	0	3	5	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fukushima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?: The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Renofa Yamaguchi.
Where and when is Fukushima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?: Fukushima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.