Match

Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya

Tochigi SCParceiro Nagano

The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano?

Tochigi SC starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,729 vs 1,597).

Tochigi SC win58 %
Draw24 %
Parceiro Nagano win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Parceiro Nagano have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tochigi SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)1-3Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Kitakyushu(home)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Urayasu(home)2-0Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(away)0-0J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Kanazawa(home)3-2J3 League
Parceiro Nagano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-6Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(away)1-0J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Fukui United(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Osaka(away)2-4J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)1-0J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tochigi SC win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Parceiro Nagano win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026Tochigi SC 0-0 Parceiro NaganoJ2/J3 League
Nov 29, 2025Parceiro Nagano 0-4 Tochigi SCJ3 League
May 6, 2025Tochigi SC 1-0 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Nov 26, 2017Tochigi SC 0-0 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Jul 15, 2017Parceiro Nagano 0-0 Tochigi SCJ3 League
Nov 13, 2016Tochigi SC 0-1 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano on May 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Parceiro Nagano score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tochigi SC1.01.258/157/15
Parceiro Nagano0.81.475/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Parceiro Nagano sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Parceiro Nagano3201446
8Tochigi SC3120545

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano?
The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Parceiro Nagano.
Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano played?
Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Tochigi SC and Parceiro Nagano

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