Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya
The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano?
Tochigi SC starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,729 vs 1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Parceiro Nagano have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Urayasu(home) | 2-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-6 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fukui United(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tochigi SC win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Parceiro Nagano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Tochigi SC 0-0 Parceiro Nagano | J2/J3 League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Parceiro Nagano 0-4 Tochigi SC | J3 League |
| May 6, 2025 | Tochigi SC 1-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Tochigi SC 0-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Jul 15, 2017 | Parceiro Nagano 0-0 Tochigi SC | J3 League |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Tochigi SC 0-1 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Parceiro Nagano score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi SC | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Parceiro Nagano | 0.8 | 1.4 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Parceiro Nagano sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano?
- The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Parceiro Nagano.
- Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano played?
- Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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