Eibar vs Cadiz: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, Eibar
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eibar wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eibar vs Cadiz?
Eibar starts as the favourite with a 226-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eibar vs Cadiz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eibar
4-2-3-1- 9Jon Bautista
- 30Aleix Garrido
- 8Ander Madariaga
- 7Malcom Adu
- 10Jon Guruzeta
- 11Jon Magunazelaia
- 23Anaitz Arbilla
- 4Unai Elgezabal
- 24Juan Bernat
- 22Álvaro Rodríguez
- 13Jon Mikel
Cadiz
4-2-3-1- 21V. Kopotun
- 18Jandro Orellana
- 24Ibon Sánchez
- 16Antonio Cordero
- 28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
- 5M. Doué
- 4Javi Castro
- 27J. Diaz Peregrina
- 6Manu Fernández
- 3Sergio Arribas
- 1David Gil
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cadiz have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Eibar wins, 1 draw, 3 Cadiz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Eibar 3-1 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Cadiz 1-0 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Cadiz 0-0 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Eibar 1-0 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Cadiz 1-0 Eibar | La Liga |
| Oct 30, 2020 | Eibar 0-2 Cadiz | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Eibar score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cadiz score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Cadiz | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eibar sit 2nd in Segunda División (21 points from 9 matches) and Cadiz sit 20th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 21 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Eibar vs Cadiz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eibar vs Cadiz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Eibar vs Cadiz played?
- Eibar vs Cadiz is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.