Leganes vs Burgos: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Burgos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leganes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganes vs Burgos?
On Elo ratings, Leganes has 1,903 points and Burgos 2,029.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leganes vs Burgos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leganes
3-4-2-1- 19P. Soko
- 11Naim García
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 10Z. Buurmeester
- 8Y. Kechta
- 22Álex Sancris
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 5Ignasi Miquel
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 13L. Zidane
Burgos
4-4-2- 7Jon Karrikaburu
- 16Curro Sánchez
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 14David González
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 4P. Galdames
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 2Álex
- 13Ander Cantero
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Burgos have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leganes wins, 1 draw, 3 Burgos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Burgos 2-1 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Leganes 1-2 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Jan 22, 2024 | Leganes 2-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Burgos 1-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| May 12, 2023 | Burgos 0-3 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Leganes 0-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Leganes score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganes sit 17th in Segunda División (11 points from 10 matches) and Burgos sit 8th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Burgos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 17 | Leganes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Leganes vs Burgos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Burgos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Burgos.
- Where and when is Leganes vs Burgos played?
- Leganes vs Burgos is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.