EIF vs KäPa: prediction and stats
YkkösliigaGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ekenäs Sparbank Arena TN, Raseborg
The Footlab model makes EIF the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for KäPa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win EIF vs KäPa?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate EIF (1,596) and KäPa (1,508).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, EIF have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; KäPa have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kooteepee(home) | 0-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | MP(away) | 2-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | KäPa(away) | 1-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Klubi-04(home) | 2-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SJK Akatemia(away) | 0-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | JIPPO(home) | 1-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kooteepee(away) | 1-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | EIF(home) | 0-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | MP(away) | 1-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Haka(away) | 1-3 | Ykkösliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 EIF win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 KäPa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | KäPa 0-1 EIF | Ykkösliiga |
| May 23, 2026 | EIF 1-0 KäPa | Ykkösliiga |
| Feb 6, 2026 | EIF 1-1 KäPa | Ykköscup |
| Sep 26, 2025 | EIF 4-1 KäPa | Ykkösliiga |
| Jun 14, 2025 | KäPa 1-3 EIF | Ykkösliiga |
| Apr 23, 2025 | EIF 4-2 KäPa | Ykkösliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
EIF score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; KäPa score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EIF | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| KäPa | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
EIF sit 6th in Ykkösliiga (26 points from 19 matches) and KäPa sit 8th (16 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | EIF | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 30 | 26 |
| 6 | EIF | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 31 | 26 |
| 8 | KäPa | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 35 | 16 |
| 8 | KäPa | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 35 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for EIF vs KäPa?
- The Footlab model makes EIF the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for KäPa.
- Where and when is EIF vs KäPa played?
- EIF vs KäPa is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ekenäs Sparbank Arena TN, in the Ykkösliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.