EIF vs KäPa: prediction and stats
YkkösliigaGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ekenäs Sparbank Arena TN, Raseborg
The Footlab AI model makes EIF the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for KäPa. The most likely score is 1-1. If EIF wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win EIF vs KäPa?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate EIF (1,513) and KäPa (1,485).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for EIF vs KäPa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
EIF
4-3-3- 10Lucas Kaufmann
- 23S. Bah
- 34R. Kerrebijn
- 8A. Peltola
- 13O. Sallinen
- 19D. Agbo
- 5R. Pakkanen
- 3D. Maes
- 29Fahad Al Dhanhani
- 22T. Kaleba
- 12A. Mikkonen
KäPa
4-3-3- 10Y. Lika
- 28E. Lappalainen
- 22D. Ripatti
- 7N. Leinonen
- 11S. Sillah
- 8R. Huhtamäki
- 2U. Huhtamäki
- 4P. Hietalahti
- 3S. Puputti
- 37O. Heinonen
- 1T. Collin
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, EIF have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; KäPa have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Klubi-04(away) | 0-7 | Ykkösliiga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | SJK Akatemia(home) | 1-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | JäPS(away) | 0-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Haka(home) | 2-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | PK-35(away) | 0-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | MP(home) | 1-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Haka(home) | 3-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | SJK Akatemia(away) | 3-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PK-35(home) | 1-4 | Ykkösliiga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Klubi-04(away) | 2-2 | Ykkösliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 EIF wins, 1 draw, 0 KäPa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | KäPa 0-1 EIF | Ykkösliiga |
| May 23, 2026 | EIF 1-0 KäPa | Ykkösliiga |
| Feb 6, 2026 | EIF 1-1 KäPa | Ykköscup |
| Sep 26, 2025 | EIF 4-1 KäPa | Ykkösliiga |
| Jun 14, 2025 | KäPa 1-3 EIF | Ykkösliiga |
| Apr 23, 2025 | EIF 4-2 KäPa | Ykkösliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
EIF score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; KäPa score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EIF | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| KäPa | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
EIF sit 7th in Ykkösliiga (29 points from 26 matches) and KäPa sit 9th (25 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | EIF | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 44 | 29 |
| 9 | KäPa | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 46 | 25 |
A question about EIF vs KäPa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for EIF vs KäPa?
- The Footlab AI model makes EIF the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for KäPa.
- Where and when is EIF vs KäPa played?
- EIF vs KäPa is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ekenäs Sparbank Arena TN, in the Ykkösliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.