Eik-Tønsberg vs Bjarg: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Tønsberg Gressbane KG, Tønsberg
The Footlab model makes Bjarg the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Eik-Tønsberg. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eik-Tønsberg vs Bjarg?
Bjarg starts as the favourite with a 264-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eik-Tønsberg have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Bjarg have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hønefoss(home) | 1-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mjondalen(away) | 1-2 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Træff(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vidar(away) | 3-4 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 5-6 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fana(away) | 3-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pors Grenland(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sotra(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lysekloster(away) | 3-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pors Grenland(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Eik-Tønsberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bjarg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Bjarg 2-0 Eik-Tønsberg | 2. Division - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bjarg vs Eik-Tønsberg on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eik-Tønsberg score 1.2 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bjarg score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eik-Tønsberg | 1.2 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Bjarg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eik-Tønsberg sit 14th in 2. Division - Group 1 (4 points from 16 matches) and Bjarg sit 7th (26 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bjarg | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 26 |
| 14 | Eik-Tønsberg | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eik-Tønsberg vs Bjarg?
- The Footlab model makes Bjarg the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Eik-Tønsberg.
- Where and when is Eik-Tønsberg vs Bjarg played?
- Eik-Tønsberg vs Bjarg is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Tønsberg Gressbane KG, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.