Vidar vs Mjondalen: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lassa idrettspark, Stavanger
The Footlab model makes Mjondalen the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Vidar. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vidar vs Mjondalen?
Mjondalen starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,778 vs 1,603).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vidar have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Mjondalen have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Madla(away) | 2-3 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arendal(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | jerv(away) | 0-4 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(home) | 4-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arendal(away) | 0-4 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 0-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kvik Halden(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Notodden(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Brattvåg(away) | 5-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Vidar win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mjondalen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mjondalen 2-0 Vidar | 2. Division - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vidar score 0.9 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mjondalen score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Mjondalen | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vidar sit 13th in 2. Division - Group 1 (6 points from 16 matches) and Mjondalen sit 3rd (32 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mjondalen | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 32 |
| 13 | Vidar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 44 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vidar vs Mjondalen?
- The Footlab model makes Mjondalen the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Vidar.
- Where and when is Vidar vs Mjondalen played?
- Vidar vs Mjondalen is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lassa idrettspark, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.