St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt
The Footlab model makes St. Pauli II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Eintracht Norderstedt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate St. Pauli II (1,761) and Eintracht Norderstedt (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Pauli II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Eintracht Norderstedt have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 4-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kickers Emden(home) | 6-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 St. Pauli II win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Eintracht Norderstedt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt 1-1 St. Pauli II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt 3-2 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 7, 2025 | St. Pauli II 2-2 Eintracht Norderstedt | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Eintracht Norderstedt 0-3 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 18, 2024 | St. Pauli II 1-1 Eintracht Norderstedt | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 7, 2024 | St. Pauli II 2-0 Eintracht Norderstedt | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Norderstedt score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Eintracht Norderstedt | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St. Pauli II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nord (3 points from 4 matches) and Eintracht Norderstedt sit 11th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 5 |
| 14 | St. Pauli II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt?
- The Footlab model makes St. Pauli II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Eintracht Norderstedt.
- Where and when is St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt played?
- St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsSchöningen
- Sep 12, 2026VfB LübeckvsHSC Hannover
- Sep 12, 2026Weiche FlensburgvsHamburger SV II
- Sep 12, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Sep 12, 2026VfB OldenburgvsHannover 96 II
- Sep 12, 2026Kickers EmdenvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Sep 12, 2026TodesfeldevsBremer SV
- Sep 12, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsPhönix Lübeck