El Dakhleya vs Itesalat: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Al-Shorta Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes El Dakhleya the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Itesalat. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Dakhleya vs Itesalat?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate El Dakhleya (1,599) and Itesalat (1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Dakhleya have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Itesalat have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mega Sport(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Proxy(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Aswan Sc(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Masar(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | El Seka El Hadid(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 El Dakhleya win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Itesalat win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | El Dakhleya 1-2 Itesalat | Second League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Itesalat 0-1 El Dakhleya | Second League |
| May 25, 2025 | Itesalat 1-2 El Dakhleya | Second League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | El Dakhleya 2-1 Itesalat | Second League |
| May 27, 2022 | El Dakhleya 0-1 Itesalat | Second League - Group B |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Itesalat 0-1 El Dakhleya | Second League - Group B |
Last archived meeting: El Dakhleya vs Itesalat on Jan 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Dakhleya score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Itesalat score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Dakhleya | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Itesalat | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Dakhleya sit 13th in Second League (1 points from 1 matches) and Itesalat sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | El Dakhleya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Itesalat | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Dakhleya vs Itesalat?
- The Footlab model makes El Dakhleya the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Itesalat.
- Where and when is El Dakhleya vs Itesalat played?
- El Dakhleya vs Itesalat is played on October 15, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Al-Shorta Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.