Tersana vs Mega Sport: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mit Okba Stadium, Giza
The Footlab model makes Tersana the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Mega Sport. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tersana vs Mega Sport?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Tersana (1,677) and Mega Sport (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tersana have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Mega Sport have 0, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | El Seka El Hadid(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | El Dakhleya(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tersana score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mega Sport score 0.0 and concede 0.0. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tersana | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Mega Sport | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tersana sit 6th in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and Mega Sport sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tersana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Mega Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tersana vs Mega Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Tersana the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Mega Sport.
- Where and when is Tersana vs Mega Sport played?
- Tersana vs Mega Sport is played on October 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mit Okba Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.