El Mansura vs Pharco: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)al-Manṣūrah Stadium, El Mansoura
The Footlab model makes El Mansura the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Pharco. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Mansura vs Pharco?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate El Mansura (1,681) and Pharco (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Mansura have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Pharco have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Proxy(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 28, 2026 | Ismaily SC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
El Mansura score 0.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pharco score 0.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Mansura | 0.8 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Pharco | 0.5 | 0.9 | 3 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Mansura sit 4th in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and Pharco sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | El Mansura | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Pharco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Mansura vs Pharco?
- The Footlab model makes El Mansura the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Pharco.
- Where and when is El Mansura vs Pharco played?
- El Mansura vs Pharco is played on January 15, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at al-Manṣūrah Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.