El Mokawloon vs Abu Qair Semad: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arab Contractors Stadium (Osman Ahmed Osman Stadium), Cairo
The Footlab model makes El Mokawloon the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Abu Qair Semad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Mokawloon vs Abu Qair Semad?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate El Mokawloon (1,821) and Abu Qair Semad (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Mokawloon have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Abu Qair Semad have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(home) | 4-0 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Tersana(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | La Viena FC(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Itesalat(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 El Mokawloon win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Abu Qair Semad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | El Mokawloon 1-0 Abu Qair Semad | Second League |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Abu Qair Semad 3-0 El Mokawloon | Second League |
Last archived meeting: El Mokawloon vs Abu Qair Semad on May 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
El Mokawloon score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Abu Qair Semad score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Mokawloon | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Abu Qair Semad | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Mokawloon sit 17th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Abu Qair Semad sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Abu Qair Semad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | El Mokawloon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Mokawloon vs Abu Qair Semad?
- The Footlab model makes El Mokawloon the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Abu Qair Semad.
- Where and when is El Mokawloon vs Abu Qair Semad played?
- El Mokawloon vs Abu Qair Semad is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arab Contractors Stadium (Osman Ahmed Osman Stadium), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.