Masr vs Smouha SC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Masr the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Smouha SC. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Masr vs Smouha SC?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Masr (1,842) and Smouha SC (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Masr have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Smouha SC have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wadi Degla(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 29, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | AL Masry(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Pyramids FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | AL Masry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Ceramica Cleopatra(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Masr win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Smouha SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | Masr 1-0 Smouha SC | League Cup |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Smouha SC 1-1 Masr | Premier League |
| May 29, 2025 | Masr 0-0 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Smouha SC 2-1 Masr | Premier League |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Smouha SC 1-0 Masr | Cup |
| May 9, 2024 | Smouha SC 1-2 Masr | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Masr score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Smouha SC score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masr | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Smouha SC | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Masr sit 14th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Smouha SC sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Masr | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Smouha SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Masr vs Smouha SC?
- The Footlab model makes Masr the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Smouha SC.
- Where and when is Masr vs Smouha SC played?
- Masr vs Smouha SC is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cairo International Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 27, 2026El Gouna FCvsGhazl El Mehalla
- Dec 27, 2026EnppivsNational Bank of Egypt
- Dec 27, 2026Future FCvsAL Masry
- Dec 28, 2026El MokawloonvsAbu Qair Semad
- Dec 28, 2026Pyramids FCvsZamalek SC
- Dec 29, 2026Wadi DeglavsAsyut Petrol
- Dec 29, 2026Olympic El QanahvsPetrojet
- Dec 29, 2026El GeishvsCeramica Cleopatra