Wadi Degla vs Asyut Petrol: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Petrosport Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Wadi Degla the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Asyut Petrol. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wadi Degla vs Asyut Petrol?
Wadi Degla starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wadi Degla have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Asyut Petrol have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Masr(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 28, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Petrojet(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | El Mansura(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Tersana(away) | 1-3 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Wadi Degla win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Asyut Petrol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2025 | Wadi Degla 2-0 Asyut Petrol | Second League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Asyut Petrol 2-0 Wadi Degla | Second League |
| Jan 22, 2024 | Wadi Degla 2-1 Asyut Petrol | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Wadi Degla vs Asyut Petrol on Apr 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Wadi Degla score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Asyut Petrol score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wadi Degla | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Asyut Petrol | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wadi Degla sit 13th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Asyut Petrol sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Asyut Petrol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wadi Degla vs Asyut Petrol?
- The Footlab model makes Wadi Degla the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Asyut Petrol.
- Where and when is Wadi Degla vs Asyut Petrol played?
- Wadi Degla vs Asyut Petrol is played on December 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Petrosport Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.