El Nacional vs Cumbayá: result 0-3 and analysis
Liga Pro Serie BRelegation Group - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Full time
What was the result of El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
Cumbayá won 0-3 on September 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 7′?Cumbayá
- 59′?Cumbayá
- 74′?Cumbayá
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Cumbayá win at 37%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Cumbayá have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Santo Domingo(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 22 de Julio(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | LDU Portoviejo(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Gualaceo SC(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ind. Juniors(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | 22 de Julio(away) | 7-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Gualaceo SC(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Santo Domingo(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 26, 2026 | LDU Portoviejo(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atletico FC(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 El Nacional win, 1 draw, 4 Cumbayá wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | El Nacional 0-1 Cumbayá | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Cumbayá 2-1 El Nacional | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2024 | El Nacional 2-1 Cumbayá | Liga Pro |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Cumbayá 1-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Aug 26, 2023 | El Nacional 2-2 Cumbayá | Liga Pro |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Cumbayá 2-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: El Nacional vs Cumbayá on Jul 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cumbayá score 1.2 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Cumbayá | 1.2 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Nacional sit 12th in Liga Pro Serie B (12 points from 22 matches) and Cumbayá sit 10th (26 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cumbayá | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 26 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 32 | 12 |
A question about El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy