El Porvenir vs Excursionistas: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera CLower Table Round - 3Kick-off on December 30, 2020 at 08:10 PM (UTC)Estadio Gildo Francisco Ghersinich, Gerli, Provincia de Buenos Aires
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What was the result of El Porvenir vs Excursionistas?
Excursionistas won 0-1 on December 30, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 51′M. MoralesExcursionistas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Porvenir have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Excursionistas have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2020 | Deportivo Español(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Midland(home) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Real Pilar(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Mar 9, 2020 | San Martín Burzaco(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Lujan(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2020 | Leandro N. Alem(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Dec 14, 2020 | Deportivo Español(home) | 4-2 | Primera C |
| Mar 16, 2020 | Leandro N. Alem(home) | 3-1 | Primera C |
| Mar 6, 2020 | Argentino de Merlo(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Sportivo Italiano(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 El Porvenir wins, 0 draws, 2 Excursionistas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2019 | Excursionistas 0-1 El Porvenir | Primera C |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Excursionistas 2-4 El Porvenir | Primera C |
| Oct 21, 2018 | El Porvenir 3-0 Excursionistas | Primera C |
| Apr 27, 2018 | El Porvenir 1-2 Excursionistas | Primera C |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Excursionistas 4-1 El Porvenir | Primera C |
| Feb 16, 2013 | El Porvenir 1-0 Excursionistas | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Excursionistas vs El Porvenir on Sep 27, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
El Porvenir score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Excursionistas score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Porvenir | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Excursionistas | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | El Porvenir | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 40 |
A question about El Porvenir vs Excursionistas?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy