Elana Toruń vs Bałtyk Koszalin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, Toruń
The Footlab AI model makes Bałtyk Koszalin the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bałtyk Koszalin wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elana Toruń vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Elana Toruń (1,642) and Bałtyk Koszalin (1,631).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elana Toruń vs Bałtyk Koszalin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elana Toruń
Not enough data to predict the Elana Toruń lineup.
Bałtyk Koszalin
Not enough data to predict the Bałtyk Koszalin lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elana Toruń have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bałtyk Koszalin have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Elana Toruń wins, 0 draws, 0 Bałtyk Koszalin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin 2-3 Elana Toruń | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Elana Toruń 5-2 Bałtyk Koszalin | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Bałtyk Koszalin 0-1 Elana Toruń | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Bałtyk Koszalin 1-4 Elana Toruń | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Bałtyk Koszalin vs Elana Toruń on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elana Toruń score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elana Toruń | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Bałtyk Koszalin | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elana Toruń sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (20 points from 16 matches) and Bałtyk Koszalin sit 8th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 11 | Elana Toruń | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 27 | 20 |
A question about Elana Toruń vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elana Toruń vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bałtyk Koszalin the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Elana Toruń.
- Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?
- Elana Toruń vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on May 12, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 12, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsKalisz
- May 12, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsLuzino
- May 12, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- May 12, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsFlota Świnoujście
- May 12, 2027Gedania GdanskvsLipno Stęszew
- May 12, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsVictoria Września
- May 12, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsKotwica Kórnik
- May 12, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsStargard Szczeciński