Where and when is Noteć Czarnków vs Victoria Września played?

Noteć Czarnków vs Victoria Września is played on May 12, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Noteć Czarnków, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Noteć Czarnków vs Victoria Września: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Noteć Czarnków, Czarnków

Noteć Czarnków

Victoria Września

The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Noteć Czarnków vs Victoria Września?

Noteć Czarnków starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,692).

Noteć Czarnków win49 %

Draw24 %

Victoria Września win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noteć Czarnków have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Victoria Września have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Noteć Czarnków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kalisz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-5	III Liga - Group 2

Victoria Września
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-5	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Luzino(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-5	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Noteć Czarnków win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Victoria Września win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Victoria Września 0-0 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 12, 2025	Noteć Czarnków 0-1 Victoria Września	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Noteć Czarnków	1.7	1.3	4	7/15	9/15
Victoria Września	1.1	1.7	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Noteć Czarnków sit 7th in III Liga - Group 2 (9 points from 5 matches) and Victoria Września sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Noteć Czarnków	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
16	Victoria Września	5	1	0	4	4	14	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Noteć Czarnków vs Victoria Września?: The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Victoria Września.
Where and when is Noteć Czarnków vs Victoria Września played?: Noteć Czarnków vs Victoria Września is played on May 12, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Noteć Czarnków, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.