Wda Świecie vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świecie nad Wisłą
The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wda Świecie vs Kotwica Kórnik?
Wda Świecie starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wda Świecie have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-6 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Wda Świecie win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kotwica Kórnik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Kotwica Kórnik 2-0 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Wda Świecie 2-1 Kotwica Kórnik | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kotwica Kórnik vs Wda Świecie on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wda Świecie | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Kotwica Kórnik | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wda Świecie sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wda Świecie vs Kotwica Kórnik?
- The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Kotwica Kórnik.
- Where and when is Wda Świecie vs Kotwica Kórnik played?
- Wda Świecie vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on May 12, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- May 12, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsKalisz
- May 12, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsLuzino
- May 12, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- May 12, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsFlota Świnoujście
- May 12, 2027Gedania GdanskvsLipno Stęszew
- May 12, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsVictoria Września
- May 12, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsStargard Szczeciński