Kluczevia Stargard vs Flota Świnoujście: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Flota Świnoujście. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Flota Świnoujście?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Kluczevia Stargard (1,774) and Flota Świnoujście (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Flota Świnoujście have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kluczevia Stargard win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Flota Świnoujście win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard 2-3 Flota Świnoujście | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Flota Świnoujście 2-1 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Flota Świnoujście on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Flota Świnoujście | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Flota Świnoujście sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 5 | Flota Świnoujście | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Flota Świnoujście?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Flota Świnoujście.
- Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Flota Świnoujście played?
- Kluczevia Stargard vs Flota Świnoujście is played on May 12, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 12, 2027Elana ToruńvsBałtyk Koszalin
- May 12, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsKalisz
- May 12, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsLuzino
- May 12, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- May 12, 2027Gedania GdanskvsLipno Stęszew
- May 12, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsVictoria Września
- May 12, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsKotwica Kórnik
- May 12, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsStargard Szczeciński