Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Lech Poznań II played?

Elana Toruń vs Lech Poznań II is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Elana Toruń vs Lech Poznań II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, Toruń

Elana Toruń

Lech Poznań II

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elana Toruń vs Lech Poznań II?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Elana Toruń (1,694) and Lech Poznań II (1,779).

Elana Toruń win25 %

Draw21 %

Lech Poznań II win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elana Toruń have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Lech Poznań II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elana Toruń
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Lech Poznań II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	5-2	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Elana Toruń win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Lech Poznań II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 23, 2025	Lech Poznań II 1-2 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 2, 2025	Elana Toruń 2-4 Lech Poznań II	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 9, 2025	Lech Poznań II 1-1 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 17, 2024	Elana Toruń 0-0 Lech Poznań II	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2020	Lech Poznań II 3-2 Elana Toruń	Cup
Jun 17, 2020	Lech Poznań II 2-2 Elana Toruń	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Lech Poznań II vs Elana Toruń on Nov 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Elana Toruń	1.0	2.5	0	10/15	11/15
Lech Poznań II	2.1	1.9	3	11/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elana Toruń sit 12th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Lech Poznań II sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Lech Poznań II	5	3	1	1	12	9	10
12	Elana Toruń	5	1	2	2	8	10	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elana Toruń vs Lech Poznań II?: The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Elana Toruń.
Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Lech Poznań II played?: Elana Toruń vs Lech Poznań II is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.