Unia Swarzędz vs Luzino: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Luzino?
Luzino starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Luzino have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kalisz(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Unia Swarzędz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Luzino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | Luzino 3-0 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Unia Swarzędz 1-1 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| May 1, 2024 | Luzino 1-2 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Unia Swarzędz 2-1 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Luzino vs Unia Swarzędz on Nov 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Swarzędz | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unia Swarzędz sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Luzino sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzędz | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Luzino?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Unia Swarzędz.
- Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Luzino played?
- Unia Swarzędz vs Luzino is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsKalisz
- Sep 19, 2026Elana ToruńvsLech Poznań II
- Sep 19, 2026Stargard SzczecińskivsVictoria Września
- Sep 19, 2026Gedania GdanskvsKotwica Kórnik
- Sep 19, 2026Noteć CzarnkówvsPolonia Środa
- Sep 19, 2026Wda ŚwiecievsKluczevia Stargard
- Sep 19, 2026Grom Nowy StawvsFlota Świnoujście
- Sep 19, 2026Lipno StęszewvsBałtyk Koszalin