Match

Unia Swarzędz vs Luzino: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz

Unia SwarzędzLuzino

The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Luzino?

Luzino starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,760).

Unia Swarzędz win18 %
Draw20 %
Luzino win62 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Luzino have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Swarzędz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wda Świecie(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Elana Toruń(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Noteć Czarnków(home)0-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Kalisz(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Luzino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Victoria Września(away)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)6-2III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Unia Swarzędz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Luzino win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 28, 2025Luzino 3-0 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2025Unia Swarzędz 1-1 LuzinoIII Liga - Group 2
May 1, 2024Luzino 1-2 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2
Oct 7, 2023Unia Swarzędz 2-1 LuzinoIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Luzino vs Unia Swarzędz on Nov 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unia Swarzędz1.91.748/1511/15
Luzino2.31.3310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Swarzędz sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Luzino sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Luzino531114710
11Unia Swarzędz5203696

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Luzino?
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Unia Swarzędz.
Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Luzino played?
Unia Swarzędz vs Luzino is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Unia Swarzędz and Luzino

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