Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Elana Toruń played?

Gedania Gdansk vs Elana Toruń is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gedania Gdansk vs Elana Toruń: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, Gdańsk

Gedania Gdansk

Elana Toruń

The Footlab model makes Gedania Gdansk the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Elana Toruń?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Gedania Gdansk (1,668) and Elana Toruń (1,694).

Gedania Gdansk win42 %

Draw22 %

Elana Toruń win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gedania Gdansk have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Elana Toruń have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gedania Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	5-3	III Liga - Group 2

Elana Toruń
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gedania Gdansk win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Elana Toruń win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Elana Toruń 2-2 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 15, 2025	Elana Toruń 5-0 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 21, 2024	Gedania Gdansk 1-2 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 30, 2024	Elana Toruń 1-0 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 1, 2023	Gedania Gdansk 0-2 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 22, 2023	Elana Toruń 3-1 Gedania Gdansk	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Elana Toruń vs Gedania Gdansk on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gedania Gdansk	1.5	2.3	1	8/15	10/15
Elana Toruń	1.0	2.5	0	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gedania Gdansk sit 10th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Elana Toruń sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Gedania Gdansk	5	1	3	1	12	11	6
12	Elana Toruń	5	1	2	2	8	10	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gedania Gdansk vs Elana Toruń?: The Footlab model makes Gedania Gdansk the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Elana Toruń.
Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Elana Toruń played?: Gedania Gdansk vs Elana Toruń is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.