Sarakinos vs Elassona: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Sarakinos the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Elassona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarakinos vs Elassona?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Sarakinos (1,488) and Elassona (1,576).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarakinos have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Elassona have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kozani(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Eordaikos(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Evosmou(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Akrites Sykeon(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Asteras Kard.(home) | 6-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 13, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 10, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 3, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
How many goals should we expect?
Sarakinos score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Elassona score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarakinos | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Elassona | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarakinos vs Elassona?
- The Footlab model makes Sarakinos the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Elassona.
- Where and when is Sarakinos vs Elassona played?
- Sarakinos vs Elassona is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.