Elassona vs Sarakinos: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 6Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, Elassona
The Footlab AI model makes Elassona the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Sarakinos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elassona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,862 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elassona vs Sarakinos?
Elassona starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,658 vs 1,544).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elassona vs Sarakinos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elassona
Not enough data to predict the Elassona lineup.
Sarakinos
Not enough data to predict the Sarakinos lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elassona have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sarakinos have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Feraios(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| May 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trikala(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pierikos(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Karitsa(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kozani(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Elassona score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sarakinos score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elassona | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Sarakinos | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elassona sit 4th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (3 points from 2 matches) and Sarakinos sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Elassona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Sarakinos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Elassona vs Sarakinos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elassona vs Sarakinos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elassona the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Sarakinos.
- Where and when is Elassona vs Sarakinos played?
- Elassona vs Sarakinos is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.