Elazığspor vs Hatayspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Hatayspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elazığspor vs Hatayspor?
Elazığspor is a heavy favourite: 1,891 Elo points against 1,589, a 302-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Hatayspor have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 4-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Serik Spor(away) | 2-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sakaryaspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sarıyer(away) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Adana Demirspor(home) | 4-0 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Elazığspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hatayspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2019 | Hatayspor 3-1 Elazığspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Elazığspor 0-1 Hatayspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Hatayspor vs Elazığspor on Apr 3, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hatayspor score 1.0 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığspor | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Hatayspor | 1.0 | 2.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elazığspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82 | 37 | 69 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs Hatayspor?
- The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Hatayspor.
- Where and when is Elazığspor vs Hatayspor played?
- Elazığspor vs Hatayspor is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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