Match

Elazığspor vs Hatayspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ

ElazığsporHatayspor

The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Hatayspor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elazığspor vs Hatayspor?

Elazığspor is a heavy favourite: 1,891 Elo points against 1,589, a 302-point gap.

Elazığspor win69 %
Draw19 %
Hatayspor win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Hatayspor have 2, 1 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elazığspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Muğlaspor(away)0-02. Lig
May 4, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)2-12. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Adana 01 FK(away)4-22. Lig
Apr 25, 202624 Erzincanspor(home)2-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026İskenderunspor(away)1-02. Lig
Hatayspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026Vanspor FK(home)3-11. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Serik Spor(away)2-41. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Sakaryaspor(home)1-11. Lig
Apr 11, 2026Sarıyer(away)0-41. Lig
Apr 7, 2026Adana Demirspor(home)4-01. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Elazığspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hatayspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2019Hatayspor 3-1 Elazığspor1. Lig
Oct 27, 2018Elazığspor 0-1 Hatayspor1. Lig

Last archived meeting: Hatayspor vs Elazığspor on Apr 3, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hatayspor score 1.0 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Elazığspor2.30.787/159/15
Hatayspor1.02.818/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Elazığspor362169823769

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs Hatayspor?
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Hatayspor.
Where and when is Elazığspor vs Hatayspor played?
Elazığspor vs Hatayspor is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Elazığspor and Hatayspor

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