Match

Erbaaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, Erbaa

ErbaasporGüzide Gebzespor

The Footlab model makes Güzide Gebzespor the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erbaaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Erbaaspor (1,611) and Güzide Gebzespor (1,684).

Erbaaspor win27 %
Draw26 %
Güzide Gebzespor win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbaaspor have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Güzide Gebzespor have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erbaaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)1-32. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Ankaragücü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Elazığspor(away)0-32. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)0-22. Lig
Apr 4, 202624 Erzincanspor(away)2-32. Lig
Güzide Gebzespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Ankara Demirspor(away)2-22. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Mardin 1969(home)1-22. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Fethiyespor(home)1-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-32. Lig
Mar 29, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)1-02. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Erbaaspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Güzide Gebzespor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 16, 2025Erbaaspor 2-0 Güzide Gebzespor2. Lig
Oct 5, 2024Güzide Gebzespor 1-1 Erbaaspor2. Lig
Sep 28, 2021Güzide Gebzespor 2-1 ErbaasporTürkiye Kupası
Dec 15, 2019Erbaaspor 1-2 Güzide Gebzespor3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 29, 2017Erbaaspor 4-1 Güzide Gebzespor3. Lig - Group 3
Dec 18, 2016Güzide Gebzespor 0-0 Erbaaspor3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Erbaaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor on Feb 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Güzide Gebzespor score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Erbaaspor0.91.539/157/15
Güzide Gebzespor1.51.157/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Erbaaspor sit 15th in 2. Lig (34 points from 36 matches) and Güzide Gebzespor sit 7th (58 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Güzide Gebzespor3416108563158
15Erbaaspor3610719406134

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erbaaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor?
The Footlab model makes Güzide Gebzespor the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Erbaaspor.
Where and when is Erbaaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor played?
Erbaaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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