Match

Menemen FK vs Aliağa FAŞ: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Menemen Şehir Stadı, Menemen

Menemen FKAliağa FAŞ

The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Menemen FK. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Menemen FK vs Aliağa FAŞ?

Aliağa FAŞ starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,806 vs 1,688).

Menemen FK win30 %
Draw25 %
Aliağa FAŞ win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Menemen FK have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Aliağa FAŞ have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Menemen FK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 20261461 Trabzon FK(away)5-42. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(away)0-52. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Somaspor(home)2-12. Lig
Mar 29, 2026Ankara Demirspor(away)0-22. Lig
Mar 25, 2026Mardin 1969(home)1-32. Lig
Aliağa FAŞ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)0-02. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Bursaspor(home)0-52. Lig
Apr 19, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Menemen FK(home)5-02. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Menemen FK win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aliağa FAŞ win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Aliağa FAŞ 5-0 Menemen FK2. Lig
Dec 12, 2025Menemen FK 2-1 Aliağa FAŞ2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Aliağa FAŞ vs Menemen FK on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Menemen FK score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Menemen FK1.22.138/1511/15
Aliağa FAŞ2.11.758/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Menemen FK sit 8th in 2. Lig (51 points from 34 matches) and Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th (69 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Aliağa FAŞ342167813269
8Menemen FK3415613575151

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Menemen FK vs Aliağa FAŞ?
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Menemen FK.
Where and when is Menemen FK vs Aliağa FAŞ played?
Menemen FK vs Aliağa FAŞ is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Menemen Şehir Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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