Menemen FK vs Aliağa FAŞ: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Menemen Şehir Stadı, Menemen
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Menemen FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Menemen FK vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Aliağa FAŞ starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,806 vs 1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Menemen FK have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Aliağa FAŞ have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(away) | 5-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Somaspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Menemen FK win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aliağa FAŞ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ 5-0 Menemen FK | 2. Lig |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Menemen FK 2-1 Aliağa FAŞ | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Aliağa FAŞ vs Menemen FK on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Menemen FK score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Menemen FK | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Aliağa FAŞ | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Menemen FK sit 8th in 2. Lig (51 points from 34 matches) and Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th (69 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aliağa FAŞ | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 81 | 32 | 69 |
| 8 | Menemen FK | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 57 | 51 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Menemen FK vs Aliağa FAŞ?
- The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Menemen FK.
- Where and when is Menemen FK vs Aliağa FAŞ played?
- Menemen FK vs Aliağa FAŞ is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Menemen Şehir Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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