Elche II vs Lorca Deportiva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche), Elche
The Footlab AI model makes Elche II the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Lorca Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elche II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elche II vs Lorca Deportiva?
On Elo ratings, Elche II has 1,855 points and Lorca Deportiva 1,871.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elche II vs Lorca Deportiva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elche II
4-3-3- 42Héctor Peña
- 35Ali Houary
- FFlavio Dion
- 37Mario
- MMontero
- 18Rubén Saiz
- JJavi Gómez
- VVicente Agulló
- DDiego Rosado
- 43Nico Salvador
- 40Owen Bosch
Lorca Deportiva
4-3-3- 10Dani Albiar
- 19G. Lopez
- 17José Naranjo
- 8Á. Martinez Nicolas
- 24J. Acevedo
- 21A. Heredia
- 12Jaime Escobar
- 18Fran Tafalla
- 15Fromsa
- 5H. Galiano
- 13F. Arbol
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche II have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Lorca Deportiva have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Elche II wins, 1 draw, 0 Lorca Deportiva wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva 1-1 Elche II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Lorca Deportiva vs Elche II on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elche II score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lorca Deportiva score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche II | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Lorca Deportiva | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elche II sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (7 points from 6 matches) and Lorca Deportiva sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Elche II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Lorca Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
A question about Elche II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elche II vs Lorca Deportiva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elche II the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Lorca Deportiva.
- Where and when is Elche II vs Lorca Deportiva played?
- Elche II vs Lorca Deportiva is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche), in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.