Elche vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
The Footlab AI model makes Elche the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elche wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elche vs Racing Santander?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Elche (2,022) and Racing Santander (2,017).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elche vs Racing Santander
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elche
5-3-2- 14Fer Niño
- 20Tete Morente
- 12Gonzalo Villar
- 8Marc Aguado
- 18T. Lemar
- 11Germán Valera
- 23Víctor Chust
- 3R. Revivo
- 47J. Morcillo
- 2Buba Sangaré
- 1M. Dituro
Racing Santander
4-1-4-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 23Iván Martín
- 20Sergio Canales
- 18M. Prati
- 8André Almeida
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Racing Santander have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-7 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 2-3 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Elche wins, 1 draw, 3 Racing Santander wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Racing Santander 3-2 Elche | La Liga |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Racing Santander 2-0 Elche | Segunda División |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Elche 3-0 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| May 4, 2024 | Racing Santander 3-1 Elche | Segunda División |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Elche 1-1 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Racing Santander 1-2 Elche | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Racing Santander vs Elche on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elche score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Racing Santander | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elche sit 18th in La Liga (6 points from 8 matches) and Racing Santander sit 15th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 8 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
A question about Elche vs Racing Santander?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elche vs Racing Santander?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elche the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Elche vs Racing Santander played?
- Elche vs Racing Santander is played on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.