Elche vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
The Footlab model makes Elche the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elche vs Racing Santander?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Elche (2,042) and Racing Santander (2,046).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Racing Santander have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al Ain(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Elche win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Racing Santander win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | Racing Santander 2-0 Elche | Segunda División |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Elche 3-0 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| May 4, 2024 | Racing Santander 3-1 Elche | Segunda División |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Elche 1-1 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Racing Santander 1-2 Elche | Segunda División |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Elche 2-0 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Racing Santander vs Elche on Mar 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Elche score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Racing Santander | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elche sit 18th in La Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Racing Santander sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Racing Santander | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Elche | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elche vs Racing Santander?
- The Footlab model makes Elche the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Elche vs Racing Santander played?
- Elche vs Racing Santander is played on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.