Eldense vs Celta de Vigo II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
The Footlab AI model makes Eldense the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Celta de Vigo II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eldense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eldense vs Celta de Vigo II?
On Elo ratings, Eldense has 1,946 points and Celta de Vigo II 1,974.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eldense vs Celta de Vigo II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eldense
4-4-2- 7Jorge Rastrojo
- 8Marcos Bustillo
- 10Fidel
- 15Carlos Guirao
- 33Aingeru Olabarrieta
- 24Javi Martínez
- 4F. Smand
- 5Alex Serradell
- 3Juan Larios
- 17Jesús Clemente
- 1Ramón Vila
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-3- 10O. Marcos
- 9A. Marin
- 15A. Kibet
- 16Adrià Capdevila
- 2P. Gavian
- 11Ángel Arcos
- 29M. Sobral
- 3K. Ribes
- 18Joel López
- 6P. Meixus
- 1Coke Carrillo
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eldense have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Celta de Vigo II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Eldense win, 0 draws, 1 Celta de Vigo II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2023 | Eldense 2-0 Celta de Vigo II | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Celta de Vigo II 3-2 Eldense | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
Last archived meeting: Eldense vs Celta de Vigo II on Jun 10, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Eldense score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Celta de Vigo II score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Celta de Vigo II | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eldense sit 15th in Segunda División (14 points from 12 matches) and Celta de Vigo II sit 16th (13 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 13 |
A question about Eldense vs Celta de Vigo II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eldense vs Celta de Vigo II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eldense the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Celta de Vigo II.
- Where and when is Eldense vs Celta de Vigo II played?
- Eldense vs Celta de Vigo II is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.