Cadiz vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, Cádiz
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cadiz vs Almeria?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 242-point Elo edge (2,097 vs 1,855).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cadiz vs Almeria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cadiz
4-2-3-1- 21V. Kopotun
- 24Ibon Sánchez
- 16Antonio Cordero
- 28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
- 5M. Doué
- 17A. Moueffek
- 4Javi Castro
- 6Manu Fernández
- 3Sergio Arribas
- 27J. Diaz Peregrina
- 1David Gil
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 22D. Chirino
- 2Marcos Luna
- 15Leonardo Lelo
- 1Andrés Fernández
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cadiz have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Almeria have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cadiz win, 1 draw, 4 Almeria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Almeria 3-2 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Cadiz 1-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Almeria 3-0 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| May 9, 2025 | Cadiz 2-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Almeria 1-1 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| May 25, 2024 | Almeria 6-1 Cadiz | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Cadiz score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Almeria | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cadiz sit 20th in Segunda División (7 points from 10 matches) and Almeria sit 1st (24 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 24 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Cadiz vs Almeria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Almeria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Cadiz vs Almeria played?
- Cadiz vs Almeria is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.