Las Palmas vs Sabadell: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Sabadell. The most likely score is 1-1. If Las Palmas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Sabadell?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Las Palmas (1,980) and Sabadell (2,027).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas vs Sabadell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 12E. Loiodice
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 24Iván Jaime
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Sabadell
4-4-2- 23J. Priego
- 10Ángel Baena
- 7Ton Ripoll
- 22Q. Liameed
- 20Urri
- 8Pere Pons
- 6Edgar González
- 14Óscar Sanz
- 4Miki Codina
- 27José Luis Català
- 1Diego Fuoli
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sabadell have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Las Palmas wins, 0 draws, 2 Sabadell wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2021 | Las Palmas 0-1 Sabadell | Segunda División |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Sabadell 3-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Las Palmas vs Sabadell on Feb 7, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sabadell score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Sabadell | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas sit 15th in Segunda División (11 points from 9 matches) and Sabadell sit 5th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sabadell | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 15 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
A question about Las Palmas vs Sabadell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Sabadell?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Sabadell.
- Where and when is Las Palmas vs Sabadell played?
- Las Palmas vs Sabadell is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.