Albacete vs Burgos: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete
The Footlab AI model makes Albacete the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Burgos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Albacete wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albacete vs Burgos?
On Elo ratings, Albacete has 1,895 points and Burgos 2,020.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Albacete vs Burgos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Albacete
4-4-2- 9Mario Soberón
- 19Alex Rubio
- 17José Corpas
- 6Antonio Pacheco
- 11Víctor Valverde
- 14San Bartolomé
- 21Carlos Neva
- 22Lluís López
- 24Vallejo
- 15Fran Gámez
- 13Diego Mariño
Burgos
4-4-2- 7Jon Karrikaburu
- 16Curro Sánchez
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 14David González
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 4P. Galdames
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 2Álex
- 13Ander Cantero
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Burgos have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Albacete wins, 0 draws, 3 Burgos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Albacete 2-3 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Burgos 0-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Burgos 1-0 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Albacete 2-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Burgos 2-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Albacete 2-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Albacete score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Albacete sit 22nd in Segunda División (1 point from 10 matches) and Burgos sit 10th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 22 | Albacete | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 1 |
A question about Albacete vs Burgos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albacete vs Burgos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Albacete the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Burgos.
- Where and when is Albacete vs Burgos played?
- Albacete vs Burgos is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.