Eldense vs Girona: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Eldense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Girona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eldense vs Girona?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Eldense (1,886) and Girona (1,976).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eldense vs Girona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eldense
4-2-3-1- 11Manu Nieto
- 10Fidel
- 15Carlos Guirao
- 14J. Smith
- 33Aingeru Olabarrieta
- 12Roberto López
- 4F. Smand
- 5Alex Serradell
- 19A. Ibarrondo
- 3Juan Larios
- 1Ramón Vila
Girona
4-4-2- 9Abel Ruiz
- 19V. Vanat
- 24I. Gonzalez
- 23Carles Pérez
- 8Fran Beltrán
- 22Y. Asprilla
- 11Álex Moreno
- 16Alejandro Francés
- 4Javier Boñar
- 5David López
- 13P. Gazzaniga
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eldense have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Girona have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Eldense score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Girona score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Girona | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eldense sit 14th in Segunda División (11 points from 9 matches) and Girona sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
| 14 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Eldense vs Girona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eldense vs Girona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Eldense.
- Where and when is Eldense vs Girona played?
- Eldense vs Girona is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.