Mallorca vs Castellón: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Castellón. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mallorca wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mallorca vs Castellón?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Mallorca (2,076) and Castellón (2,060).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mallorca vs Castellón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mallorca
4-4-2- 18Fuentes
- 20Pablo Torre
- 7Álex Sala
- 33Adrian Liso
- 6Antonio Sánchez
- 19Josep Cerdà
- 21Raíllo
- 15John Nwankwo
- 24M. Valjent
- 5Alberto Moreno
- 1Arnau Tenas
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 9Ousmane Camara
- 8Barri
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 12Lucas Alcázar
- 13R. Matthys
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mallorca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Castellón have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Girona(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Mallorca wins, 0 draws, 1 Castellón win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | Castellón 1-0 Mallorca | Segunda División |
| Dec 7, 2020 | Mallorca 3-1 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Sep 1, 2020 | Mallorca 2-0 Castellón | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Castellón vs Mallorca on Apr 17, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Mallorca score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | 1.7 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Castellón | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mallorca sit 4th in Segunda División (17 points from 9 matches) and Castellón sit 3rd (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
A question about Mallorca vs Castellón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mallorca vs Castellón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Castellón.
- Where and when is Mallorca vs Castellón played?
- Mallorca vs Castellón is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.