Granada CF vs AD Ceuta FC: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónMatchday 16Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
The Footlab AI model makes Granada CF the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for AD Ceuta FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Granada CF wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada CF vs AD Ceuta FC?
Granada CF starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (2,075 vs 1,949).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Granada CF vs AD Ceuta FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Granada CF
4-3-3- 7Sergio Rodelas
- 10Jorge Pascual
- 11José Arnáiz
- 6Gumbau
- 4Rubén Alcaraz
- 27M. Gambin
- 5Manu Lama
- 18Sergio López
- 30Juan José Flores Castro
- 16Diego Pampín
- 1Alberto Flores
AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3- 8Kuki
- 11Cedric Teguia
- 9Jordi Escobar
- 10Marino Illescas
- 20Álex Meléndez
- 14Y. Bodiger
- 6Carlos Hernández
- 4Albert Caparrós
- 3José Matos
- 5Adrián Lapeña
- 1Pedro López
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada CF have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; AD Ceuta FC have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 3-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Granada CF win, 1 draw, 1 AD Ceuta FC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC 2-1 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Granada CF 1-1 AD Ceuta FC | Segunda División |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Granada CF 2-0 AD Ceuta FC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: AD Ceuta FC vs Granada CF on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Granada CF score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AD Ceuta FC score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| AD Ceuta FC | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granada CF sit 7th in Segunda División (23 points from 12 matches) and AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd (5 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 23 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 5 |
A question about Granada CF vs AD Ceuta FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada CF vs AD Ceuta FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Granada CF the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for AD Ceuta FC.
- Where and when is Granada CF vs AD Ceuta FC played?
- Granada CF vs AD Ceuta FC is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.