Eldense vs Valladolid: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 41Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
The Footlab model makes Eldense the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eldense vs Valladolid?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Eldense (1,933) and Valladolid (1,871).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eldense have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Valladolid have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Eldense win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Valladolid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Valladolid 1-0 Eldense | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Eldense 0-1 Valladolid | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Valladolid vs Eldense on Apr 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Eldense score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Valladolid score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Valladolid | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eldense sit 19th in Segunda División (1 points from 2 matches) and Valladolid sit 21st (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Eldense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 | Valladolid | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eldense vs Valladolid?
- The Footlab model makes Eldense the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Valladolid.
- Where and when is Eldense vs Valladolid played?
- Eldense vs Valladolid is played on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.