Match

Eltersdorf vs Buchbach: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 31Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Langenau, Erlangen

EltersdorfBuchbach

The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Eltersdorf vs Buchbach?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Eltersdorf (1,918) and Buchbach (1,870).

Eltersdorf win47 %
Draw25 %
Buchbach win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eltersdorf have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Buchbach have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Eltersdorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Greuther Fürth II(home)3-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Nürnberg II(home)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 8, 2026SpVgg Unterhaching(away)0-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Vilzing(home)0-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Bayern München II(away)1-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Buchbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Ansbach(away)3-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Aubstadt(home)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Nürnberg II(away)2-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Eichstätt(home)5-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Schwaben Augsburg(away)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Eltersdorf win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Buchbach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 25, 2022Buchbach 1-1 EltersdorfRegionalliga - Bayern
Aug 31, 2021Eltersdorf 4-2 BuchbachRegionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Buchbach vs Eltersdorf on Mar 25, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Eltersdorf score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Eltersdorf1.40.976/156/15
Buchbach1.92.139/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Eltersdorf sit 7th in Regionalliga - Bayern (8 points from 5 matches) and Buchbach sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Buchbach532012411
7Eltersdorf5221548

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Eltersdorf vs Buchbach?
The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Buchbach.
Where and when is Eltersdorf vs Buchbach played?
Eltersdorf vs Buchbach is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Langenau, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Eltersdorf and Buchbach

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