Buchbach vs Eltersdorf: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SMR-Arena, Buchbach
The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buchbach vs Eltersdorf?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Buchbach (1,870) and Eltersdorf (1,918).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchbach have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Eltersdorf have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ansbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aubstadt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nürnberg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bayern München II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Buchbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Eltersdorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2022 | Buchbach 1-1 Eltersdorf | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 31, 2021 | Eltersdorf 4-2 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Buchbach vs Eltersdorf on Mar 25, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Eltersdorf score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchbach | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Eltersdorf | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buchbach sit 1st in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Eltersdorf sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Eltersdorf | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buchbach vs Eltersdorf?
- The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Buchbach.
- Where and when is Buchbach vs Eltersdorf played?
- Buchbach vs Eltersdorf is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026TSV 1860 MünchenvsAnsbach
- Oct 3, 2026SpVgg UnterhachingvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Oct 3, 2026EichstättvsWacker Burghausen
- Oct 3, 2026AubstadtvsMemmingen
- Oct 3, 2026BayreuthvsLandsberg
- Oct 3, 2026Greuther Fürth IIvsBayern München II
- Oct 3, 2026Nürnberg IIvsAugsburg II
- Oct 3, 2026Schwaben AugsburgvsVilzing