Elva vs Maardu: result 1-0 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 24Kick-off on August 20, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Elva linnastaadion, Elva
Full time
What was the result of Elva vs Maardu?
Elva won 1-0 on August 20, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 54′A. PajuElva
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Elva win at 47%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elva have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Maardu have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Joker(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tartu Welco(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Läänemaa Haapsalu(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viimsi(home) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 4-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Flora II(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Tartu Welco(home) | 1-8 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Elva wins, 0 draws, 4 Maardu wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | Elva 4-3 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Maardu 0-3 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 14, 2021 | Maardu 2-1 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 25, 2021 | Elva 0-1 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Elva 0-6 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Elva 1-2 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Elva score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maardu score 1.7 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elva | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Maardu | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elva sit 4th in Esiliiga A (48 points from 31 matches) and Maardu sit 6th (41 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Elva | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 48 | 48 |
| 6 | Maardu | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 59 | 41 |
A question about Elva vs Maardu?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy