Elva vs Pärnu: result 3-2 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 17, 2022 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Elva linnastaadion, Elva
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What was the result of Elva vs Pärnu?
Elva won 3-2 on October 17, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 34′N. KarasjovElva
- 38′V. VesperePärnu
- 56′T. MeltsPärnu
- 68′A. LaksElva
- 71′J. ReilsonElva
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elva have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Pärnu have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 0-6 | Cup |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Nõmme United(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Laagri(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Paide II(home) | 9-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 12, 2022 | K-Järve JK Järve(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2022 | Paide II(away) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 3, 2022 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 17, 2022 | K-Järve JK Järve(home) | 6-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Flora II(away) | 0-6 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Paide II(home) | 1-3 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Elva win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Pärnu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2022 | Pärnu 0-1 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 28, 2022 | Pärnu 1-1 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Elva 0-0 Pärnu | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Elva 0-0 Pärnu | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2021 | Elva 3-0 Pärnu | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Pärnu 2-1 Elva | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Elva score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pärnu score 1.7 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elva | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Pärnu | 1.7 | 2.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Elva | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| 4 | Elva | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy