Emelec vs Aucas: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 12Kick-off on May 11, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
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What was the result of Emelec vs Aucas?
Aucas won 0-1 on May 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 72′M. CarcelénAucas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Aucas have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Libertad(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Manta FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | Libertad(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 18, 2025 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Delfin SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Emelec win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Aucas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2024 | Emelec 0-0 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Aucas 3-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Emelec 0-0 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Aucas 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Aucas 1-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Emelec 0-2 Aucas | Copa Ecuador |
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Aucas score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Aucas | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emelec sit 13th in Liga Pro (29 points from 26 matches) and Aucas sit 2nd (44 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy