Match

Aucas vs Barcelona SC: prediction and stats

Liga ProChampionship Group - 4Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito

AucasBarcelona SC

The Footlab AI model makes Aucas the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Barcelona SC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aucas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aucas vs Barcelona SC?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Aucas (1,777) and Barcelona SC (1,793).

39%30%31%
Aucas winDrawBarcelona SC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Aucas vs Barcelona SC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Aucas

4-1-4-1
  1. 9R. Monti Azpiazu
  1. 21P. Guzmán
  2. 18Andrés David Mena Montenegro
  3. 6A. Spina
  4. 10A. Preciado
  5. 30B. Oyola
  1. 28R. Quiñónez
  2. 37A. Zova
  3. 2S. Morales
  4. 4M. Burdisso
  1. 13Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez

Barcelona SC

4-2-3-1
  1. 11T. Rodríguez
  1. 32M. Lugo
  2. 51Jefferson Wila
  3. 27W. Vargas
  4. 10D. Díaz
  5. 50J. García
  1. 33J. Báez
  2. 15J. Perlaza
  3. 4G. Vallecilla
  4. 18B. Carabalí
  1. 1J. Contreras

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:50 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Barcelona SC have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aucas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026LDU de Quito(home)1-1Liga Pro
Oct 10, 2026Independiente del Valle(away)1-2Liga Pro
Sep 19, 2026Macara(home)1-2Liga Pro
Sep 12, 2026Manta FC(away)0-0Liga Pro
Sep 7, 2026Barcelona SC(home)1-1Liga Pro
Barcelona SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026LDU de Quito(away)1-2Liga Pro
Sep 13, 2026Delfin SC(home)1-1Liga Pro
Sep 7, 2026Aucas(away)1-1Liga Pro
Sep 3, 2026Independiente del Valle(home)2-1Liga Pro
Aug 30, 2026Manta FC(away)0-2Liga Pro

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aucas win, 3 draws, 2 Barcelona SC wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 7, 2026Aucas 1-1 Barcelona SCLiga Pro
May 17, 2026Barcelona SC 3-0 AucasLiga Pro
Feb 14, 2026Barcelona SC 1-0 AucasFriendlies Clubs
Sep 28, 2025Barcelona SC 1-1 AucasLiga Pro
Jun 1, 2025Aucas 2-0 Barcelona SCLiga Pro
Nov 2, 2024Aucas 1-1 Barcelona SCLiga Pro

Last archived meeting: Aucas vs Barcelona SC on Sep 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aucas score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Barcelona SC score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aucas1.01.158/155/15
Barcelona SC0.90.958/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aucas sit 5th in Liga Pro (50 points from 32 matches) and Barcelona SC sit 6th (44 points from 31 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Aucas3214810353250
6Barcelona SC3111119332744

A question about Aucas vs Barcelona SC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aucas vs Barcelona SC?
The Footlab AI model makes Aucas the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Barcelona SC.
Where and when is Aucas vs Barcelona SC played?
Aucas vs Barcelona SC is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, in the Liga Pro.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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